Emerging Markets UCITS Fund – EUR

Portfolio Attribution

The Causeway Emerging Markets Fund (“Fund”), on a net asset value basis, outperformed the Index in April 2024. We use both bottom-up “stock-specific” and top-down factor categories to seek to forecast alpha for the stocks in the Fund’s investable universe*. Earlier this year, we added a new bottom-up factor, corporate events, to our model. The corporate events factor was a positive indicator in April. Our valuation, competitive strength, and growth factors were also positive indicators during the month. Our technical (price momentum) factor was a negative indicator. Our top-down country/sector aggregate and currency factors were positive indicators, while macroeconomic was negative in April.

Quarterly Investment Outlook

The South Korean government has introduced its Corporate Value-Up program with the goal of increasing valuations for companies trading significantly below book value. However, given the voluntary nature of the program, we believe the long-term efficacy of the initiative remains questionable. While the Portfolio was overweight in South Korean stocks at quarter-end, we have been reducing exposure due in part to valuation considerations. In Turkey, the central bank hiked its target interest rate by 500 basis points in March, signaling its commitment to reigning in inflation. This action helped concerns that President Recep Erdogan would interfere with the central bank’s price stability objective in order to spur slowing growth. The Portfolio was overweight Turkish stocks at quarter-end as compelling bottom-up characteristics more than offset the country’s challenging, but improving, top-down headwinds.

The Portfolio was also overweight Indian stocks at quarter-end, reflecting attractive bottom-up and top-down characteristics in the country. The Portfolio’s overweight to Indian small caps has contributed to relative performance over the trailing 12-months ended March 31st, attributable in part to optimism leading into the upcoming general election. Within EM more broadly, we continue to identify, in our view, attractive investment opportunities in small cap companies. Historically, our investment process has uncovered EM small cap stocks with alpha potential. The Portfolio’s allocation to small cap stocks was near the high end of the historical range at quarter-end.

*The Causeway Emerging Markets strategy uses quantitative factors that can be grouped into eight categories: valuation, growth, technical indicators, competitive strength, macroeconomic, corporate events, country/sector aggregate, and currency. The return attributed to a factor is the difference between the equally-weighted average return of the highest ranked quintile of companies in the strategy’s emerging markets universe based on that factor and that of the lowest ranked quintile of companies. “Alpha” means performance exceeding the benchmark index.

Emerging Markets UCITS Fund

Portfolio Attribution

The Causeway Emerging Markets UCITS Fund (“Fund”) performed in-line with the Index in April 2022. We use both bottom-up “stock-specific” and top-down factor categories to seek to forecast alpha for the stocks in the Fund’s investable universe. Our bottom-up valuation and price momentum factors were positive indicators during the month while growth and competitive strength were negative. Of our top-down factors, our macroeconomic and currency factors were positive. Our country and sector factors were negative indicators in April.

Investment Outlook

Earnings growth upgrades for EM equities continue to lag those in developed markets. EM sectors with the weakest earnings upgrades were communication services, consumer discretionary, and real estate. All three of these sectors are dominated by Chinese stocks, which were impacted by the Covid-19 lockdowns. The sectors with the strongest earnings upgrades were energy, information technology, and financials. Energy benefitted from strong oil prices and information technology benefitted from positive revisions for a few larger capitalization stocks. Financials benefitted from rising interest rates. The countries with the weakest net upgrades include China, India, and Thailand. While Covid-19 containment policies have weighed on Chinese stocks, rising commodity prices have dampened the growth outlook for Indian equities. The countries with the strongest net upgrades include Taiwan, Turkey, and Mexico. Positive revisions for larger capitalization companies drove strength in Taiwan. We are overweight Taiwanese stocks in the Fund due to attractive bottom-up and top-down characteristics. Mexican stocks have benefitted from economic linkages with the US. While we incorporate growth expectations into our multi-factor investment process, we continue to emphasize valuation in our approach. With a balance of favorable valuation, growth, and price momentum characteristics relative to the Index, we believe the portfolio provides outperformance potential looking forward.